Talks with Eli

Eli Y. and I have had a few discussions, at SIAI dinners, and over lunch. The purpose of this page is to help keep track of subjects discussed and references to studies/stats cited in order to build upon successive conversations.

Subjects

• Stastics, and biases in human intuition / decision-making
  • "Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks" which has an associated bibliography.
  • "Scope insensitivity" with active links in bibliography
• actual causes of death
  • http://www.benbest.com/lifeext/causes.html
• injuries
  • http://www.nsc.org/lrs/statinfo/odds.htm
• crosswalks risk to pedestrians
  • citation needed
• healthy eating (per BodyOptimization), citations needed
  • fish being a good source of protein, HDLs
  • risks of white rice/foods
  • risk of food-borne pathogens
  • problem of choice
• peak oil
  • 13,000 results on Technorati for "Peak Oil" vs. ~1000 for Singularity (multiple metrics)
  • Chevron (not Exxon) took out a two-page ad in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and elsewhere declaring that "the era of easy oil is over". (They probably spent more on that ad alone than the Singularity Institute's total budget over its entire lifetime to 2007.)
• scientific vs. legal vs. rational evidence
  • "An Intuitive Explanation of Bayesian Reasoning"

Reference

Meetings

chronological order:

• 2007-??-?? SIAI dinner at Frisson, downstairs room
• 2007-??-?? SIAI dinner at Frisson, side room with strange shape
• 2007-08-13 lunch with Eli at Whole Foods and walking around downtown Palo Alto
  • Stastics, and biases in human intuition / decision-making
  • actual causes of death
  • crosswalks risk to pedestrians
  • healthy eating (per BodyOptimization)
  • peak oil risks

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